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Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Frontiers of Agricultural Science and Engineering 2015, Volume 2, Issue 3,   Pages 205-215 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2015073

Abstract: analysis process.Then the quantitative characterization methods of risk analysis are introduced, including three criteriaFinally, this paper focuses on the various methods of risk analysis under uncertainty, which are summarizedA more comprehensive risk analysis methodology for the WRS is proposed based on the comparison of theThis paper provides a decision support of risk analysis for researchers, policy makers and stakeholders

Keywords: water resources system     evaluation criterion     optimization model     risk analysis method     uncertainty    

Study on shaft drilling and blasting construction risk analysis and countermeasures of Bohai Strait tunnel

Zhang Wenxin and Zou Chong

Strategic Study of CAE 2013, Volume 15, Issue 12,   Pages 101-106

Abstract:

In view of the shaft construction risk analysis of Bohai Strait tunnelCombining the risk weight analysis ranking,the sequence in turn from low to high is supporting structurefailure risk, natural disaster risk and shaft excavation risk.Through risk assessment,we determine that the risk of water inrush and mud outburst is the key risk.equipment selection and hoisting process control, shaft excavation risk control, natural disaster risk

Keywords: strait tunnel     shaft construction     drilling and blasting method     risk analysis     response measures    

Operation safety risk analysis method of hydropower project considering time-dependent effect

Zhang Sherong,YanLei

Strategic Study of CAE 2011, Volume 13, Issue 12,   Pages 51-55

Abstract:

In order to consider the time-dependent characteristic of risk factorsof hydropower project, the method of stochastic process simulating structure resistance and load effectOn the basis of analyzing the structure characteristics and mode of operation, the operation safety riskA scheme to demonstrate the time-dependent risk rate assessment method for an example of the earth-rockby predicting the trend of risk rate via this model.

Keywords: operation safety of hydropower project     risk analysis     risk rate assessment     time-dependent reliability    

The Risk Analysis of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Leak and the Consequence Assessment Method

Chen Sining,Sun Jinhua,Wang Qingsong

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 9,   Pages 61-64

Abstract: In this paper, occuring condition and risk of those disasters are analyzed.Quantified risk analysis (QRA) is used in consequence assessment.The assessment method for the hazards to the environment by UVCE and BLEVE is researched.

Keywords: fire     liquefied petroleum gas leak     risk analysis     consequence assessment    

Risk Matrix Method and Its Application in the Field of Technical Project Risk Management

Zhu Qichao,Kuang Xinghua,Shen Yongping

Strategic Study of CAE 2003, Volume 5, Issue 1,   Pages 89-94

Abstract:

Technical project risk management has always been given great concern by the Department of DefenseThis paper systematically introduces risk matrix and its application, which is one of the most popularrisk management technologies in the field of DoD acquisition projects risk management.As a conclusion, this paper evaluates the usability of risk matrix when to be used to assess and mitigaterisk management.

Keywords: risk matrix     risk management     project management    

A Fast Evaluation and Research Method for Exploration Potential of Oversea Basins

Hong-quan Kang,Yun-hua Deng,Huai-cun Jia,Tao Cheng,Bo Bai

Frontiers of Engineering Management 2016, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 338-342 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2016052

Abstract: overseas basins with different exploration degrees and offers a new evaluation system and research methodfor fast evaluation and risk analysis on hydrocarbon potential.This new system and method, which is an effective system for fast basin evaluation, is suggested to be

Keywords: geological risk analysis     probability model     evaluation factors     oversea exploration     hydrocarbon exploration    

Glogbal Services of BeiDou Navigation Satellite System: Risk Analysis and Countermeasures

Yang Jun

Strategic Study of CAE 2023, Volume 25, Issue 2,   Pages 13-21 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2023.02.002

Abstract: Strengthening research on risk analysis and response of BDS global services is not only an inherent requirementof these risks, the following countermeasures are proposed: strengthening the top-level planning of riskresponse, establishing a response system considering all factors, improving risk response capabilitiesof BDS global service related entities, and consolidating a solid foundation for risk response.

Keywords: BeiDou navigation satellite system     global services     risk analysis     risk response    

The influencing factors of the WTP for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents in China

Lei HUANG, Zhijuan SHAO, Weiliang BAO, Bailing DUAN, Jun BI, Zengwei YUAN

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2012, Volume 6, Issue 6,   Pages 860-868 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0467-y

Abstract: To explore the factors that influence respondents’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the risk reduction ofconsidered in this study, and a Tobit model was used to find the factors influencing WTP under three riskIn addition, three extracted public risk perception factors, , , and , also strongly affected theThe mean WTP value increased as the magnitude of the risk reduction increased.The cost for chemical safety management of Yancheng was calculated, and the optimized risk reduction

Keywords: risk perception     willingness to pay     contingent valuation method     risk management school of the environment    

Meta-analysis of the risk factors of breast cancer concerning reproductive factors and oral contraceptive

Qiong DAI MD, Bei LIU MD, Yukai DU MM,

Frontiers of Medicine 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 452-458 doi: 10.1007/s11684-009-0080-z

Abstract: The authors performed a meta-analysis of case-control studies that addressed whether reproductive factorssummary OR was adjusted; 95% CI, 1.24―3.62) were correlated with the increase in breast cancer riskand breast-feeding (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64―0.90) indicated no association with breast cancer risk50yr and oral contraceptive use are positively correlated with an increase in breast cancer risk

Keywords: meta-analysis     breast cancer     risk factors     reproductive factors     oral contraceptive use    

A novel method for reliability and risk evaluation of wind energy conversion systems considering wind

Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Amir AHADI,Hosein HAYATI

Frontiers in Energy 2016, Volume 10, Issue 1,   Pages 46-56 doi: 10.1007/s11708-015-0384-4

Abstract: In this paper, a novel methodology based on the Weibull-Markov method is proposed for evaluating theBased on the proposed method, the COPT of the wind farm has been developed and utilized on the IEEE RBTSMoreover, the proposed method reduces the complexity of using analytical methods and provides an accurateFurthermore, several case studies are considered to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method

Keywords: doubly-fed induction generator (DFIG)     composite system adequacy assessment     wind speed correlation    

Zero-failure accelerated reliability demonstration test method based on degradation model

Zhang Huirui

Strategic Study of CAE 2015, Volume 17, Issue 5,   Pages 31-37

Abstract: the end of test,and the test can be terminated early when this prediction does not cost unacceptable riskThus it is necessary to propose a method that take advantage of both degradation data and acceleratedAt last,the method is illustrated by an example, showing that the method is efficient in reducing test

Keywords: degradation model;accelerated testing;life demonstration;risk analysis;optimum plan    

A Review on the Risk Assessment Methods of System Engineering

Cao Yun,Xu Weiya

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 6,   Pages 88-94

Abstract:

A comprehensive introduction about present situation and future development of the risk assessmentSeveral technical issues on the research of the risk assessment methods are discussed.

Keywords: risk assessment     risk analysis     systems engineering    

Analysis and control of significant risk source of underground diameter project from Beijing railway

Zhao Yong,Han Fuzhong,Li Jianhua

Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 12,   Pages 23-28

Abstract:

Through the detailed risk evaluation on underground diameter projectfrom Beijing railway station to Beijing railway west station, the conditions of all the risk sourcesAt last, effective control measures of risk prevention and reduction were proposed based on the evaluations

Keywords: tunnel     risk analysis     risk control    

Perception of people for the risk of Tianwan nuclear power plant

Lei HUANG, Jun BI, Bing ZHANG, Fengying LI, Changsheng QU,

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2010, Volume 4, Issue 1,   Pages 73-81 doi: 10.1007/s11783-009-0151-z

Abstract: A questionnaire survey of residents’ risk perceptions related to Taiwan nuclear power plant inChina was carried out to explore the determining factors that affect individual risk perception.This study proposed to pursue a more comprehensive understanding of factors that affected individual riskCovariance structure analysis was conducted using risk perceptions of nuclear power as dependent variableimprove people’s rational acceptance of risk.

Keywords: nuclear power     risk perception     public involvement     covariance structure analysis     China    

Application of probabilistic risk assessment at a coking plant site contaminated by Polycyclic Aromatic

XIA Tianxiang,JIANG Lin,JIA Xiaoyang,ZHONG Maosheng,LIANG Jing

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2014, Volume 8, Issue 3,   Pages 441-450 doi: 10.1007/s11783-013-0572-6

Abstract: Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) and Deterministic Risk Assessment (DRA) at a cokingPRA revealed valuable information regarding the possible distribution of risk, and risk estimates ofoverestimated the risk.this coking plant site, the remediation scale and cost will be reduced in a large portion once the methodSensitivity analysis was done by calculating the contribution to variance for each exposure parameter

Keywords: Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)     a coking plant     risk     cleanup level     sensitivity analysis     polycyclic    

Title Author Date Type Operation

Risk analysis methods of the water resources system under uncertainty

Zeying GUI,Chenglong ZHANG,Mo Li,Ping GUO

Journal Article

Study on shaft drilling and blasting construction risk analysis and countermeasures of Bohai Strait tunnel

Zhang Wenxin and Zou Chong

Journal Article

Operation safety risk analysis method of hydropower project considering time-dependent effect

Zhang Sherong,YanLei

Journal Article

The Risk Analysis of Liquefied Petroleum Gas Leak and the Consequence Assessment Method

Chen Sining,Sun Jinhua,Wang Qingsong

Journal Article

Risk Matrix Method and Its Application in the Field of Technical Project Risk Management

Zhu Qichao,Kuang Xinghua,Shen Yongping

Journal Article

A Fast Evaluation and Research Method for Exploration Potential of Oversea Basins

Hong-quan Kang,Yun-hua Deng,Huai-cun Jia,Tao Cheng,Bo Bai

Journal Article

Glogbal Services of BeiDou Navigation Satellite System: Risk Analysis and Countermeasures

Yang Jun

Journal Article

The influencing factors of the WTP for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents in China

Lei HUANG, Zhijuan SHAO, Weiliang BAO, Bailing DUAN, Jun BI, Zengwei YUAN

Journal Article

Meta-analysis of the risk factors of breast cancer concerning reproductive factors and oral contraceptive

Qiong DAI MD, Bei LIU MD, Yukai DU MM,

Journal Article

A novel method for reliability and risk evaluation of wind energy conversion systems considering wind

Seyed Mohsen MIRYOUSEFI AVAL,Amir AHADI,Hosein HAYATI

Journal Article

Zero-failure accelerated reliability demonstration test method based on degradation model

Zhang Huirui

Journal Article

A Review on the Risk Assessment Methods of System Engineering

Cao Yun,Xu Weiya

Journal Article

Analysis and control of significant risk source of underground diameter project from Beijing railway

Zhao Yong,Han Fuzhong,Li Jianhua

Journal Article

Perception of people for the risk of Tianwan nuclear power plant

Lei HUANG, Jun BI, Bing ZHANG, Fengying LI, Changsheng QU,

Journal Article

Application of probabilistic risk assessment at a coking plant site contaminated by Polycyclic Aromatic

XIA Tianxiang,JIANG Lin,JIA Xiaoyang,ZHONG Maosheng,LIANG Jing

Journal Article